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Oil Hedging Hit Record High Last Week After New Us Sanctions On Russia
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Oil Hedging Hit Record High Last Week After New Us Sanctions On RussiaDemand to lock in oil and gas prices jumped to a record high on Friday on the AEGIS hedging marketplace, as the harshest U.S. sanctions yet on Russian energy trade sent oil prices to multi-month highs. AEGIS, which says its clients’ business represents about 25-30% of total U.S. oil production, recorded the highest trading activity to date on its platforms on Jan. 10, as producers capitalized on higher volatility, said Jay Stevens, director of market analytics at AEGIS. Hedging can help producers reduce risk and protect their production from sharp moves in the market by locking in a price. It can also give traders opportunities to profit from volatility. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CL1! settled at $76.57 per barrel on Jan. 10, marking a three-month high. Global benchmark, Brent crude futures BRN1! settled at $79.76 a barrel, after earlier in the session exceeding $80 a barrel for the first time since Oct.7. Oil prices began to climb after traders in Europe and Asia circulated an unverified document detailing the sanctions. Later on Friday, the U.S. Treasury formally announced new sanctions on the Russian energy sector, including oil majors Gazprom Neft SIBN and Surgutneftegaz SNGS to try to curtail Moscow’s ability to fund its war with Ukraine. The sanctions also target over 180 tankers and dozens of oil traders, oilfield service providers, insurance companies and energy officials. Source: Reuters
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Port Hedland Iron Ore Exports Down 4% In December 2024
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Port Hedland Iron Ore Exports Down 4% In December 2024Pilbara Ports delivered a total monthly throughput of 66.2 million tonnes (Mt) for December 2024. The Port of Port Hedland achieved a monthly throughput of 48.3Mt, of which 47.6Mt was iron ore exports. This was a four per cent decrease to total throughput compared to December 2023. Imports through the Port of Port Hedland totalled 197,000 tonnes, a decrease of 10 per cent compared to December 2023. The Port of Dampier delivered a total throughput of 16Mt, a six per cent increase from December 2023. Imports through the Port of Dampier totalled 84,000 tonnes, a decrease of 21 per cent from December 2023. Several factors influence the fluctuation of throughput, including changes in market conditions, port maintenance operations and proponent needs. Total throughput across all ports since 1 July 2024 is 387.5Mt. Source: Pilbara Ports
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Marine Fuel Provider Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited Announces Pricing Of Its Initial Public Offering
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Marine Fuel Provider Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited Announces Pricing Of Its Initial Public OfferingUni-Fuels Holdings Limited, a global provider of marine fuel solutions for shipping companies headquartered in Singapore, announced today the pricing of its underwritten initial public offering (the “Offering”) of 2,100,000 Class A Ordinary Shares at a public offering price of $4.00 per share, for total gross proceeds of $8.4 million to the Company, before underwriting discounts and commissions. All of the Class A Ordinary Shares are being offered by Uni-Fuels. The Class A Ordinary Shares are expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the ticker symbol “UFG” on January 14, 2025. The Offering is expected to close on January 15, 2025, subject to satisfaction of customary closing conditions. The Company has granted the Underwriters an option to purchase up to 315,000 additional Class A Ordinary Shares within 45 days of the effective date of the Company’s registration statement in relation to the Offering. Uni-Fuels intends to use the proceeds from the Offering for scaling up its reselling activities to gain market share from existing and new markets; for strengthening its workforce and expanding its market presence in new geographical locations; and cash reserve and general corporate purposes. The Offering was conducted on a firm commitment basis. R. F. Lafferty & Co., Inc. is acting as the sole book-running manager for the Offering. A registration statement on Form F-1 relating to the shares being sold in the Offering was initially filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on October 28, 2024; and was declared effective by the SEC on January 10, 2025. The Offering is being made only by means of a prospectus. A copy of the final prospectus relating to the Offering, when available, may be obtained for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov, or alternatively, from: R. F. Lafferty & Co., Inc., 40 Wall Street, 27th Floor, New York, NY 10005; (212) 293-9090. This press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction. Source: Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Eia Extends Five Key Energy Forecasts Through December 2026
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Eia Extends Five Key Energy Forecasts Through December 2026In our January 2024 Short-Term Energy Outlook, which includes data and forecasts through December 2026, we forecast five key energy trends that we expect will help shape markets over the next two years. Electricity consumption will start growing, driven by new demand sources After almost two decades of relatively little change, electricity consumption grew by 2% in 2024, and we forecast it will continue growing by 2% in both 2025 and 2026, mostly as a result of demand from new semiconductor and battery manufacturing factories and from data centers. Solar power supplies most of the increase in generation in our forecast. We expect the electric power sector to add 26 gigawatts (GW) of new solar capacity in 2025 and 22 GW in 2026. We expect these capacity additions will increase U.S. solar generation by 34% in 2025 and by 17% in 2026. Global oil consumption growth in our forecast continues to be slightly less than the pre-pandemic trend. We expect global consumption of liquid fuels to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025 and 1.1 million b/d in 2026, driven by consumption growth in non-OECD countries. Much of this growth is in Asia, where India is now the leading source of global oil demand growth in our forecast. After reaching an annual record of 13.2 million b/d in 2024, U.S. crude oil production is forecast to average 13.5 million b/d this year. We expect crude oil production to be largely unchanged in 2026 as drilling and completion activity slows. The Permian region's share of total U.S. production will continue to increase, accounting for more than 50% of all U.S. crude oil production in 2026. Despite this increased share, the expected production growth in the Permian in 2026 will largely be offset by production contraction in other regions. We expect exports of natural gas by pipeline and as LNG to increase in 2025, with most of the increase coming from LNG exports. Two new LNG export facilities—Plaquemines LNG and Corpus Christi LNG Stage 3—started producing LNG in December 2024, and Plaquemines LNG loaded and shipped its first LNG cargo on December 26. Source: EIA
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Driving Economic Efficiency In Maritime Operations
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Driving Economic Efficiency In Maritime OperationsFollowing an extensive career in the maritime industry, what do you think have been the biggest changes since you started in the 1980s? Over the years I’ve seen huge changes in the industry. Apart from consolidation and changing trade patterns, the technological advances in the industry have been huge and with many benefits. In particular, the steps towards efficiency have been impressive. Whether by regulation or class or by the mindset of the more progressive owners like Seaspan, vessel design has been much more targeted towards that vessel’s purpose and intention, resulting in much improved efficiency, fuel consumption, capacity and safety on many levels. We have also seen basic design changes considering the unknown effects of size. Back in the day we had issues with large tankers exploding, or Capesize bulk carriers disappearing without even a mayday. In the container segment we had issues such as hull buckling and fires. As these vessels got bigger and bigger, they sometimes ended up being outside of a tried and trusted design envelope, which sometimes created challenges. What steps have been taken to achieve greater efficiencies? This has been achieved by looking at the entire operating cycle of a ship. Taking into account things like speed and loading, we worked out that by making structural and shape changes, we could reduce the overall energy consumed through the life cycle of a ship and the loadability of vessels. We’ve made huge strides in these areas at an accelerating rate, especially over the last 10 years. Owners and operators now have to be much smarter than before. They have to be much more inquisitive about the impact of changing regulations, and this requires forethought. This is now mainly driven by decarbonization, which is a game changer, a real paradigm shift across the industry. Because of changing requirements related to this, it is crucial for shipowners to be able to maintain the competitive feasibility of a vessel throughout its life cycle. Over the years we have seen growth in trade volumes as well as changes in trading patterns. How did this impact operations at Seaspan? Back in 1999, Seaspan started developing a fleet of Panamax vessels, and within about two years we realized the extent of the China effect. As China became a major manufacturing and economic hub we knew that we would need greater economies of scale. We were first out of the gate with the post-8,000 TEUs and I remember the ire of many in the industry saying that Seaspan had lost its mind. However, you did the maths and you could see the extent of the efficiency gains – double digit – by, for example, running an 8,500 TEU unit instead of two 4,250 TEU units. This caught on quickly and by the end of that year – 2005 – there were over 80 units on order, and not just by Seaspan. What we saw then has happened continuously since and today it is very common to have 12,000, 14,000, 24,000 TEU vessels. Essentially now, liners will adopt the largest tonnage that the route can effectively accommodate. This is something that we’ve always been aware of at Seaspan when ordering new tonnage and is integral to our discussions with customers when developing new tonnage concepts. This also goes beyond containerships: in a couple of years, Seaspan will have the world’s largest pure car and truck carriers (PCTCs). As with everything, this is driven by customer demand and not speculation. What do you think have been the most significant advancements during this time period? Great strides have been made in the overall design of vessels, especially in the past 10 or 15 years. The most significant advancements have been a result of the pursuit of the economic efficiency of ships. That comes primarily from three elements: size, technology and how you operate them. This has really been the fabric of how we have looked at things in the operations of Seaspan, related to concept, design and construction. For example – outside of containerships – we have seen the rapid growth of cruise ships, where we now see these massive vessels being constructed. This is for the purpose of economy of scale and to meet the huge increase in demand in the cruise industry. The same can be said of tankers, bulkers and PCTCs. Shipowners are looking at the life cycle of the vessel – typically 25 to 30 years – with the ultimate aim of building in the best economy possible for that vessel. The same goes for technology. Now that we have emissions abatement pressure, owners have to be much more considerate when adopting new technologies, developing new ships and retrofitting existing ones. What actions did Seaspan take in developing efficiency-based designs? In collaboration with DNV, Seaspan was one of the first to design around the full operating profile, meaning speed profile, draft profile, cargo profiles and other parameters. We called this the ‘SAVER’ concept, and it brought about a number of benefits. For example, we’ve been able to reach almost 100% loadability of ships, meaning both in terms of the max draft that you can go to and the TEU capacity. Combined with much-improved fuel consumption, we’ve been able to significantly bring down the amount of fuel we use per container, resulting in both economic and environmental benefits. The use of data has also been key, and this has really taken off across the industry. Many of the measures that I’ve mentioned above can only come from analysing previous operations and taking a view of the future, with a focus on trade volumes, container weights, speeds etc. And this can be done if you’ve been measuring and recording those. Fortunately, at Seaspan we took that step around 18 years ago so we have loads of meaningful data on several aspects of our vessels and their operation. Collaboration with DNV has been a big part of this, helping us to understand how to sanitize the data, identify and eliminate the outliers, and make sure we have reliable figures. This enabled us to analyse key factors like speed, cargo and trade routes and then design our next ships with these parameters in mind. This has been a fundamental part of the SAVER concept, and I would say that owners who don’t do this will pay the price in the future. Seaspan has, for around a decade, been the largest tonnage provider for containerships globally. What do you think has been the key element for this success? This starts with fundamentals. From the very start, we positioned ourselves as a partner to our liner customers. Apart from being a willing solutions provider, we knew that our focus would have to be on service delivery at a level equal to or better than what they can do internally themselves. When we leased vessels to some of the largest liner majors in the world, we covered not just the obvious charter rate, but also the quality and reliability of the vessel itself, its performance in the way it was operated by our crews, and how it was managed by the vessel management team. Seaspan has purpose-built nearly all of its fleet with this approach in mind. For this reason, within the first two years, we were able to take the essential steps to become a fully capable owner/manager of our vessels. To support this, we developed our capable ship design development team and construction team. Additionally, we provided our own crew through an in-house crewing function, and we also provided our own in-house vessel management team. This is something that our customers have really valued. Which unique selling points have made Seaspan such a big partner for global liner companies? In addition to other aspects like procurement, quality control, finance, accounting teams, legal and other functions, we have been able to provide our clients with full service. That was a considered and determined decision very early in the day. Being able to handle all aspects of our performance in respect to customer service delivery really got us ahead of the curve. We got our first ship in 2001, and I’d say we were fully up and running in all aspects by the end of 2002. Whilst Seaspan was not the cheapest option, we had developed the trust and respect of our customers to be able to develop, deliver and reliably put in service strings of ships. That takes reputation, commitment and self-realization, and of course the necessary financial muscle. That’s how we achieved the position, and that in essence was the secret sauce. Looking back, what do you regard as your most significant achievements and milestones with Seaspan? What are you most proud of about your time spent there? There is a lot to be proud of from my time at Seaspan. From the initial competitive ridicule in the early days starting in 2001 to being the largest supplier in the container industry by around 2012, we obviously did a lot well that enabled us to attract and retain customers. Most of this has been built around the principle of understanding our customers. This has meant really talking to them, getting to know them, collaborating and partnering with them, and having the curiosity to seek novel solutions. Achieving this required real excellence among our staff. How they operate, and how they have aligned with our goals and values, have been crucial to our success and I’m really proud of the team that we assembled in the early days at Seaspan, and that has continued to this day. Finally, the inquisitiveness of our vessel design development team, combined with strong collaboration with our customers and other industry partners, has led time and time again to improvements in our ships. As already mentioned, this enabled us to achieve the paradigm shift of achieving greater efficiency through the transition to bigger vessels, and this has been an extremely important competitive advantage for Seaspan over the years. Looking forward, you will be dedicating your time towards decarbonization strategies in the maritime industry. This is the big question of our time in shipping and something with a large amount of complexity and uncertainty. What do you think are the main challenges for the industry when thinking about decarbonization? For me, the main question is, where do you get the juice from? At Seaspan, we have invested a lot in LNG over the past half-decade. When we looked into the LNG supply chain – including bunkering infrastructure – five or six years ago, we could see that it was developing but nowhere near where it is today. However, we had done a lot of analysis, and this gave us the confidence that this was being built out and would eventually reach the point we are at today, where it is a reliable source of fuel for ships. Over the past two or three years we have spent a lot of time on methanol and ammonia as well. However, unlike LNG, the oil majors that we have been used to dealing with in the past are not greatly involved in these new fuels. Therefore, we are talking with names that were not previously engaged with the maritime industry, and it is clear that all of the supply chains for these fuels need to be built out. And this is costly and takes time. This time last year there was a cacophony of discussion going on but now it has all quietened down. People have realized what the cost is and we see that there is an unwillingness to pay, as well as caution in regard to commitments by producers and offtakers. We see that most of the major cargo owners want greener solutions, but there’s a premium on green freight over standard freight and there seems to be a reluctance at this time to pay for it. This is also manifesting on the supply side. If owners are unwilling to pay this premium, how do you persuade manufacturers of these fuels to go and invest billions in a production facility for methanol or ammonia? So, the horses are lined up but nobody is pulling the trigger to open the gate and I think that it is going to come down to the forces of regulation to make it happen at scale. Do you think the IMO decarbonization targets are reachable? When we think about targets, I would say that the 20% reduction by 2030 will be relatively easy to reach with some newbuilds, some retrofitting of existing vessels, and operational management of speed and loading, especially since this reduction is against a 2008 baseline. This means that there’s no great pressure on the gas pedal right now and limited incentive for greater efforts. However, I think that 2040 is going to be a lot more difficult and, certainly, full decarbonization by 2050 is a serious challenge. At the moment we are in a phase where we need to develop courage for adoption. When this happens and you get some reasonable commercial agreements going, the question then is whether we will see commitments to go and develop all of these supply chains, including production. Ultimately, for this to happen, it’s going to come down to regulation to force it. Equally, the right thinking needs to be adopted, whereby ultimately the consumer of the shipped goods is going to have to pay for it. You have worked a lot with DNV over the years. How would you describe that relationship? Even before I worked with Seaspan, I worked a lot with DNV and I have always found it a good company to collaborate with. Over the years we’ve done a number of conceptual developments, we’ve looked at data, we’ve examined a range of novel solutions and concepts, in particular how to be ready early in preparation for the many different challenges of the day – known and unknown – coming towards shipowners. It is very important for a capital-intensive asset owner to avoid making mistakes – they are too costly. With DNV, we have taken part in many novel and constructive engagements and developments to give us sufficient, reliable information to make decisions on which way we’re going to go. Source: DNV, https://www.dnv.com/expert-story/maritime-impact/driving-economic-efficiency-in-maritime-operations/?utm_campaign=MA_24Q4_GLOB_ART_Con_568_Interview_Seaspan&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Eloqua
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Lloyd’S Register Oneocean Launches Risk Manager Fueleu
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Lloyd’S Register Oneocean Launches Risk Manager FueleuRisk Manager FuelEU helps users understand their compliance status and manage their FuelEU strategy. Lloyd’s Register OneOcean (LR OneOcean) has launched Risk Manager FuelEU, an innovative module designed to enable ship managers, owners, operators, and charterers to seamlessly manage their FuelEU compliance and strategy within a single platform. The Risk Manager FuelEU module, alongside Risk Manager’s existing EU ETS module, allows users to simulate, plan, and monitor their compliance with the EU’s FuelEU Maritime Regulation and EU ETS requirements. By integrating these capabilities, Risk Manager offers a comprehensive solution to emissions management, saving users’ time, reducing costs, and helping them avoid financial penalties for non-compliance. The launch of Risk Manager FuelEU coincides with the start of the EU’s FuelEU Maritime Regulation, which requires vessels over 5,000 GT trading in the EU and European Economic Area to meet greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity reduction targets. Risk Manager FuelEU simplifies this complex compliance process, connecting stakeholders for easy management of FuelEU exposure from start to finish. Risk Manager FuelEU brings together in-house ship models, multi-objective route optimisation, and high-quality weather forecast data to help users simulate future exposure and implement robust emissions strategies. The new module actively manages and optimises the GHG intensity and compliance balance of vessels by simulating and monitoring fuel types and consumption. Users can make informed decisions about fuel choices, enabling them to holistically manage their FuelEU strategy while optimising the commercial outcome of voyages. Automatic import of Noon Reports to provide real-time emissions data and exposure profiles is also available through the Risk Manager software. Risk Manager is integrated with LR tools such as LR Emissions Verifier, providing easy access to voyage validation statements, while tiered user permissions allow expanded access for users across the business based on company needs. Barry Hooper, Vice President of Product and Technology, LR OneOcean, said: “With its unique approach, wide breadth of functionality, and engaging user experience, Risk Manager FuelEU provides the industry with a complete toolset to actively manage the impacts of FuelEU regulations from start to finish. “This, combined with Risk Manager’s EU ETS module, provides the industry with the complete solution for emissions management under the European Unions ‘Fit for 55’ legislation, making LR OneOcean and LR the industry’s emissions management partner of choice.” Source: OneOcean
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Risks From Unregulated Tanker Fleet Rising, Un Shipping Chief Says
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Risks From Unregulated Tanker Fleet Rising, Un Shipping Chief SaysThe safety risks posed by unregulated oil tankers are rising, and the so-called shadow fleet is a threat to both the maritime environment and seafarers, the head of the United Nations’ shipping agency said on Tuesday. The shadow fleet refers to hundreds of ships used by Russia to move oil, in violation of international restrictions imposed on it over the Ukraine war, as well as by oil exporters such as Iran and Venezuela hit by US sanctions. At least 65 oil tankers dropped anchor this week at multiple locations, including off the coasts of China and Russia, since the United States announced a new sanctions package on Jan. 10. “The risk is growing in relation to the environmental impact and the safety of the seafarers as the shadow fleet grows,” Arsenio Dominguez, Secretary-General of the International Maritime Organization (IMO), told a news conference. “We see it by different accidents and events that have taken place.” Dominguez, who could not comment on sanctions, said his biggest concern was with aging tankers, which were “putting people onboard at risk and the environment as well.” “The more that ships start looking to … avoid meeting the IMO requirements, the more that we will have situations like we have been experiencing in the last part of 2024.” There have been a number of incidents involving collisions and shadow fleet vessels breaking down in recent months. Dominguez said an IMO meeting would follow up in March on a resolution adopted in 2023 aimed at greater scrutiny of ship-to-ship oil transfers in open seas — a frequent risk with shadow fleet tankers which carry out such transfers with little regard for safety. He said he had also met with smaller flag registry countries, which typically provide flagging for shadow fleet tankers. Commercial ships must be registered, or flagged, with a particular country to ensure they are complying with internationally recognized safety and environmental rules. Shipping industry sources say many of the smaller flag registries are lax about enforcing compliance and also sanctions regulations. “Substandard shipping …has been on the agenda at IMO for many years,” Dominguez said. Source: Reuters
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Safe Sts Drives Safety Step-Change Within Ship-To-Ship Lightering Of Crude Oil
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Safe Sts Drives Safety Step-Change Within Ship-To-Ship Lightering Of Crude OilAs global demand for crude oil continues, ship-to-ship (STS) transfer operations remain an essential link in the energy supply chain and associated industries. These operations do however present unique challenges, including the potential for spills and physical risk to personnel during transfer as well as damage to the transfer equipment itself. Whilst such risks to the crew, environment and equipment assets have always existed and been managed within the framework of OCIMF guidelines, the global STS market has expanded significantly over the course of this century. New offshore locations and new jurisdictions have opened up for this service, and many new entrants have begun to operate within them. Modern offshore STS operations strive for continuous improvement within risk management, looking to deliver tangibly safer and more sustainable practices. This has been the driver of the adaptation by global STS service provider Safe STS of technological capabilities which can typically be seen in such sectors as LNG ship-to-ship operations. Already Adopted and In Service Already successfully integrated into hundreds of offshore STS operations and mandated by a growing number of jurisdictions and oil majors, the Protected Transfer System (PTX) is a joint development between Safe STS and Gall Thomson. Pooling the marine experience of Safe STS across thousands of such operations since 2009 and the engineering expertise of Gall Thomson world-famous for its Field Verified Marine Breakaway Coupling technology, the PTX represents a significant advancement in the safe handling of crude oil transfer at sea. Zero-Spill Design The PTX’s cutting-edge sealing mechanisms instantly close during a breakaway, creating a tight seal to prevent crude oil from escaping. This guarantees a no-spill environment, aligning with stricter global environmental standards and protecting marine ecosystems. Quick and Simple to Integrate At its core, the PTX ensures safe, rapid, on-demand remote disconnection during the side-by-side transfer of crude oil. It is speedily and easily integrated into existing STS systems and processes. The PTX Release is mobilised on its own lightweight skid and installed within a few minutes via straightforward ratchet camlocks between the transfer hose and the vessel manifold. Its transportability significantly enhances ease of cross-operational use, whilst also allowing for permanent deck installation where desired due to its compact on-deck footprint. Speedy and Safe to Activate and Reset In emergency scenarios, the PTX ensures a rapid, on-demand release which is activated remotely through a Reflex High-Pressure Unit (HPU). This deck control minimizes the potential for environmental damage, shortens response times in critical situations, and keeps all personnel at a safe distance. It also prevents hose rupture or manifold damage during unintentional breakaway events. Delivering Commercial Benefits On Top There are not simply safety and environmental benefits here: the PTX also protects high-value transfer assets – equipment which would take considerable trouble and expense to replace, with all the associated operational downtime on top of the intrinsic cost of equipment substitution. The deployment of the PTX allows for the swiftest possible resumption of operations after activation, using all the same equipment. Once activated, the PTX can be reset within around 30 minutes – so well within the time window for restart of operations once separation has been deemed necessary and it has been activated. Whilst the PTX delivers greater operator safety and stakeholder peace of mind from the first day of integration, it will also very likely pay for itself the first time its button is ever pressed. Industry Implications By addressing the three pillars of maximising operational efficiency as well as ensuring personnel safety and environmental protection, the PTX represents a step-change in the risk profile of the STS lightering of crude oil – whilst also delivering commercial return on investment when activated. It uses existing, proven, easily integrated technology to make operations safer. It has already been adopted / mandated by high-profile stakeholders within the industry and is now set to roll out globally via Safe STS. With the development of this failsafe release, Safe STS and Gall Thomson have together not only advanced maritime safety but have also set a Q2 21st century benchmark for the responsible handling at sea of crude oil. Source: Safe STS Ltd.
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Tankers International: 2025 Could Mark A Significant Turning Point For The Tanker Freight Market
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Tankers International: 2025 Could Mark A Significant Turning Point For The Tanker Freight MarketReflecting on 2024 At the start of 2024, the global shipping industry saw encouraging signs and was optimistic about the year ahead. Key forecasting agencies projected strong oil demand growth, driven primarily by China and other nations East of Suez. At the same time OPEC’s production cuts seemed set to be counterbalanced by non-OPEC suppliers expanding their output, particularly in the Atlantic Basin West of Suez. The temporary removal of Venezuelan sanctions also reshaped the market going into 2024, integrating previously sanctioned trades into mainstream operations while geopolitical events in other parts of the world caused disruptions and delays. All these factors pointed to increased tonnemiles and vessel demand – especially for trading routes running West to East. With vessel supply stagnant or in decline, the basic principles of supply and demand suggested an upward trajectory for freight prices. However, the reality of 2024 did not fully align with these high expectations. Oil demand growth Throughout 2024, revisions from forecasting agencies downgraded global oil demand growth by approximately 400,000 barrels per day (bpd). This adjustment closely mirrored downward revisions to China’s growth forecasts, which dropped by more than half a million barrels through the year China’s oil demand remains a key driver of tanker markets and in 2024, the impact on the VLCC sector was twofold: slower-than-expected demand growth dampened overall market activity, and increased reliance on sanctioned oil further skewed dynamics. Approximately 2.7 million bpd of China’s seaborne imports in 2024 originated from sanctioned countries, including substantial volumes of Iranian crude. We also saw Russian crude following to China, but much of this bypassed the VLCC market, instead utilising smaller tankers. Overall, shadow fleet activity into China diverted around 20 VLCC fixtures per month from the mainstream market. Despite these challenges, there are signs of potential recovery. In November, Chinese refiners began sourcing more non-sanctioned crude from the Middle East and West Africa. This shift reflects both increasing U.S. sanctions pressure and rising costs associated with sanctioned oil. As we now enter 2025, agencies forecast global oil demand growth of 1.1 to 1.4 million bpd, aligning with long-term averages. This suggests that, while 2024 was challenging, the broader demand outlook remains stable. OPEC+ vs. Non-OPEC production dynamics OPEC+ remains a key influence, with plans to reintroduce 2.2 million bpd of voluntary production cuts over an extended 18-month period starting in April 2025. The phased return of these barrels, primarily from Middle Eastern countries, could add demand equivalent to 55 VLCCs if directed to Eastern buyers. While OPEC+ kept voluntary cuts in place through 2024, non-OPEC production growth, particularly from the Atlantic Basin, remained robust. However, realised growth fell short of initial expectations due to slower-than-anticipated growth from Brazil and lower-than-expected US exports. Furthermore, with China not drawing as many barrels from the Atlantic Basin, Atlantic exports remained largely within the West of Suez region, leading to shorter voyages and lower tonnemile demand. Looking ahead to 2025, projected non-OPEC production growth of 1.1 – 1.7 million bpd, with the majority expected from West of Suez producers, could drive significant West-to-East oil flows, benefiting VLCC demand. Tonnemiles and fleet development 2024 saw fluctuations in vessel demand, including an unseasonal dip in September and October, followed by a recovery in November. Overall, spot market demand ended the year around 5% below 2023 levels. The VLCC supply side continues to be fundamentally positive: The orderbook remains historically low at just 80 vessels (8% of the trading fleet) The fleet’s average age has reached 12 years, with over 100 vessels now 20 years or older Over the next four years, the number of vessels exceeding 20 years will double, representing 21% of the trading fleet. With only 80 newbuilds in the pipeline, the effective fleet size is poised to decline as older vessels become less efficient. Add to this a large pool of older, exit-ready ships, the medium-term fundamentals are promising. Looking forward into 2025 The market dynamics of 2024 resulted from a convergence of small events that collectively enforced downward pressure on freight rates. However, the fundamentals for 2025 suggest a more optimistic outlook: Non-OPEC supply is projected to have strong growth, and most of this is West of Suez OPEC+ production is set to gradually return to the market, potentially bolstering VLCC demand Geopolitical challenges remain a persistent factor, contributing to inefficiencies and supporting tonne-mile demand Fleet constraints could lead to an effective decline in vessel availability, exacerbating market tightness. The main wildcard remains China. Both the growth of its oil demand and its sourcing patterns will be crucial in determining the trajectory of VLCC demand. If fundamentals align, 2025 could mark a significant turning point for the freight market. Tankers International remains cautiously optimistic; we believe that 2025 holds the potential for a market recovery driven by robust fundamentals and a balanced fleet dynamic. Source: By Mette Frederiksen, Head of Research & Insight, Tankers International
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Iea: Supply Risks Could Reduce Oil Surplus In 2025
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Iea: Supply Risks Could Reduce Oil Surplus In 2025About this report The IEA Oil Market Report (OMR) is one of the world’s most authoritative and timely sources of data, forecasts and analysis on the global oil market – including detailed statistics and commentary on oil supply, demand, inventories, prices and refining activity, as well as oil trade for IEA and selected non-IEA countries. Highlights Turning up the heat Benchmark crude oil prices rallied in early January as US sanctions on Iran and Russia intensified and freezing temperatures swept across large parts of the Northern Hemisphere. Brent crude futures hit a four-month high of $81/bbl by mid-January, up $8/bbl from a month-ago. Following a relatively mild start to the winter heating season, the weather turned decidedly colder in December in Canada, the northern and central regions of the United States, much of Europe, Russia, China and Japan. Average heating degree days were significantly higher than a year ago and slightly above the five-year average, boosting oil demand. OECD oil demand for 4Q24 has been raised by 250 kb/d, underpinning a 90 kb/d upward adjustment to our global growth estimate for 2024. Oil demand trends in non-OECD economies were mixed. While China posted modest y-o-y growth in November, the latest data for Saudi Arabia, Brazil and India were all below expectations. Estimated growth of 940 kb/d in 2024 and 1.05 mb/d in 2025 will push world oil demand to 104 mb/d. Prices also got a boost as traders considered multiple supply risks. Near-term, weather-related shut-ins in North America could have a significant impact, with Cushing crude inventories at decade lows. Last winter, oil production in the United States and Canada plunged by more than 1.8 mb/d from December to January due to an Arctic cold snap. A smaller seasonal drop in supply is expected this year, as the prolific Permian Basin has so far been spared major weather impacts. New, more expansive US sanctions on Russia, announced on 10 January, may affect oil supply flows. Washington targeted two major oil producers (Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz), over 160 tankers carrying oil for Russia, Iran and Venezuela and ship insurance providers, further complicating oil trade logistics for those countries. But exports on non-shadow tankers remain viable for Russian oil purchased below price caps. At the same time, there is heightened speculation that the incoming US administration will take a tougher stance on Iran’s oil exports, compounding the impact of US Treasury sanctions on Tehran. On 19 December, the US expanded sanctions on vessels transporting Iranian crude. The new sanctions on Iran’s shadow fleet now cover vessels that transported an average of over 500 kb/d of Iranian crude in 2024, nearly one-third of the country’s crude exports. While it is too early to fully quantify the potential impact from these new measures, some operators have reportedly already started to pull back from Iranian and Russian oil. If decreases in supply from weather impacts, sanctions or other developments become substantial, oil stocks can quickly be drawn to meet operational requirements in the near term. Moreover, non-OPEC+ producers are expected to add another 1.5 mb/d of supply in 2025, the same as in 2024, led by the United States, Brazil, Guyana, Canada and Argentina. OPEC+ members have also been looking to unwind extra voluntary production cuts and could ramp up if needed. Those additions should cover both potential supply disruptions and expected demand growth. Source: IEA
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
Marine Fuel Sales At Singapore Bunker Hub Hit Record Highs In 2024
Bunker Port News Worldwide
Marine Fuel Sales At Singapore Bunker Hub Hit Record Highs In 2024Marine fuel sales reached fresh highs at the world’s largest bunker hub of Singapore in 2024, official data showed on Wednesday, driven by record container throughput and higher deliveries of alternative marine fuels. Sales totalled 54.92 million metric tons in 2023, data from the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) showed. Total sales surpassed a previous record of 51.82 million tons in 2023. Container throughput climbed to 41.12 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2024, also logging new highs. Meanwhile, annual vessel arrival tonnage grew to a fresh record of 3.11 billion gross tons (GT). More bunker volumes emerged in 2024 as shipping tensions in the Red Sea altered refuelling patterns and buoyed marine fuel demand, while shipowners also lifted more alternative fuels to support emission cuts, said industry sources. The year also saw significantly stronger sales in high-sulphur marine fuel, with volumes totalling 20.15 million tons, up 21% from 2023, calculations based on MPA data showed. The uptick in high-sulphur marine fuel sales came amid a higher fleet of vessels fitted with scrubbers. In contrast, sales of low-sulphur fuel dropped 4% year-on-year to 29.58 million tons. Meanwhile, sales of alternative bunker fuels exceeded one million tons for the first time, reaching 1.34 million tons in 2024, doubling from 2023, said MPA. Sales of biofuel blends grew to about 880,000 tons, up more than 69% from 2023, while sales of liquefied natural gas for bunkering rose to over 460,000 tons, more than quadrupling. Source: Reuters
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025
India-Russia Term Deal Talks For Crude Oil On Hold Amid Sanctions
Bunker Port News Worldwide
India-Russia Term Deal Talks For Crude Oil On Hold Amid SanctionsDiscussions on a term deal for crude oil purchases from Russia have ground to a halt in the wake of the latest sanctions on Russia, sources in the Ministry of Petroleum said. A joint front of state-owned refiners had been discussing the purchase of crude oil from Russia under a term deal. Crude oil from Russia is usually purchased at spot prices, while long-term contracts are reserved for crude from India’s traditional import sources in West Asia. Spot purchases allow refineries to secure different grades of oil that may otherwise be unavailable. However, last week’s sanctions on Russian oil and gas entities by the United States have put the talks on hold. Official sources have said the government is preoccupied with analysing the sanctions, which may cut off India’s access to discounted Russian crude and force it to buy at market prices. “Any deal in the current geopolitical climate requires careful planning and lengthy discussions so that shipments do not suddenly stop due to sanctions. But the escalating sanctions have complicated the matter,” an official source said. The government does not expect an immediate disruption in supplies, as volumes already in transit would take six-eight weeks to reach India. That would allow sufficient time for the geopolitical situation to evolve, as US President-elect Donald Trump is set to assume office on January 20, another source said. “This will give our refiners enough time to strike alternative arrangements, with Russia or otherwise. That may change the need for a term deal,” he said. A term deal would reduce volatility in Russian crude prices and could allow India consistent access to Russian oil at lower prices. India remains prepared to continue purchasing oil from Russian companies permitted to make such sales, as prices are favourable. Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister Hardeep Singh Puri has repeatedly emphasised this point. Rosneft deal also in limbo? Talks on the term deal had gained momentum after Russian state oil firm Rosneft signed a record deal last month to supply crude oil to Reliance Industries (RIL). Pegged at nearly 500,000 barrels per day (bpd), the deal is reportedly the largest energy agreement ever between the two countries. The 10-year agreement, amounting to 0.5 per cent of global supply, is worth roughly $13 billion annually at current prices. However, sources said the deal was now under a cloud of uncertainty after Rosnefteflot, the marine transportation arm of Rosneft, was hit with sanctions in the latest round of economic measures by Washington, DC. Up to 13 marine vessels owned by the company, including eight Russian-flagged crude oil tankers, have been sanctioned. As the second-largest Russian company by market capitalisation and one of the country’s highest earners, Rosneft has in recent years sought to increase its presence in the Indian market, officials said. In early December, Russian President Vladimir Putin had said Rosneft had invested $20 billion in India, though he did not elaborate further. Energy ties are expected to be a priority during Putin’s upcoming visit to India, scheduled for early December, according to the Kremlin. Source: Business Standard
port-and-ship
Jan 16, 2025